Municipal bond investors are paying more attention to the credit risks posed by public pension and other retirement liabilities. Municipal finance officers should prepare to address those questions when they apply for bond ratings and sell new issues.
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Monitoring the steps state and local government bond issuers are taking to manage in a volatile labor market can give investors early insight into how pensions may impact credit quality in the future.
The Covid-19 pandemic spurred new demand for insured municipal bonds, and the strong interest appears poised to continue as investors team with states and local governments to help execute the largest wave of U.S. infrastructure investment in a generation.
Understanding the risks to municipal credit quality posed by public sector commitments to retirees requires a dynamic analysis that includes considering the effect of prevailing and anticipated interest rate and inflation environments on pension funding.
That analysis is particularly important now: Fueled by recent economic stimulus measures and supply chain issues, inflation is picking up. Amidst uncertainty over whether the uptick in inflation is transitory or part of a longer-term trend, this paper examines the credit implications related to U.S. state and local government pensions of different scenarios for interest rates and inflation.
This panel looks at current trends in the municipal bond market as one of the best-perform- ing fixed-income asset classes in 2021. It shares insights into the credit strength of cities, counties, and other municipal borrowers as these emerge from the pandemic and discusses the potential impact of several Federal policies on the performance of municipal bonds going forward.
As the economy recovers from the COVID pandemic, pension issues should remain central for municipal bond investors, because state and local governments’ fiscal policy decisions could have long-term implications. This paper explores the pension risk implications of some of the actions governments may take in response to revenue declines.
The first bear market in U.S. stocks in more than a decade is almost certain to cast a long shadow over U.S. public pension funds.
Frequently Asked Questions — COVID-19 cases are leading to a wave of questions about the fundamental credit quality of U.S. municipal bond issuers.
Techniques for identifying a significant credit risk
Why guaranteed bonds may be the right balance of income and risk for your portfolio
Green bonds can attract new investors and establish your municipality as environmentally responsible. Here’s what you need to know about the green bond market.
The case for granular analysis